Outlook 2025: Crucial ‘bridge year’ for Africa to lead on the global stage

06 Jan 2025
Outlook 2025: Crucial ‘bridge year’ for Africa to lead on the global stage
Opinion: Udaibir Das.

From policy recipient to proactive global player

For decades, external voices have often narrated Africa’s economic story through a narrow lens of challenges: uneven growth, energy deficits, food insecurity, extreme poverty, mounting debt and stalled reforms. While these obstacles are undeniable, they overshadow a more compelling narrative of resilience, innovation and cautious hope.

In 2024, Africa’s economic and political importance grew significantly, laying a strong foundation for 2025 to be a transformative year for the continent. With headline economic growth reaching approximately 3.2%, Africa ranked among the fastest-growing regions globally. The continent has been addressing critical issues such as climate change, supply chain disruptions and energy transitions by embracing localised and innovative solutions. At the same time, Africa is proactively reshaping its economic identity, positioning itself as a key player in global trade, finance and sustainability efforts.

Africa’s vast renewable energy potential, including solar and wind resources, mineral wealth such as lithium and cobalt, and untapped markets in agriculture and technology, make it indispensable to global efforts towards climate resilience and economic growth. Africa’s demographic advantage is also unmatched. By 2050, the continent will house the world’s largest working-age population, thus instilling a sense of optimism about Africa’s future.

Private sector interest

Africa’s increasing economic appeal is evident in the private sector’s growing interest in the continent. Multinational corporations, financial institutions and venture capital firms recognise the vast opportunities presented by Africa’s resource wealth, expanding markets and consumer demand. This private sector momentum can be expected to accelerate in 2025.

Key sectors, such as renewable energy, technology and financial services, attract healthy investor interest. Companies like TotalEnergies and Enel Green Power are scaling up green energy projects, while global financial giants like JP Morgan Chase and Mastercard are establishing a more substantial presence. Africa’s fintech ecosystem, now valued at over $3bn, has emerged as a hub for innovation, with startups successfully drawing funding from continental and international investors. These trends reflect growing confidence in Africa’s capacity to deliver returns on investment.

Unlocking growth potential amid challenges

To realise its potential in 2025, Africa must tackle entrenched structural constraints, including fragmented regulatory frameworks, an underdeveloped financial sector, inadequate infrastructure and the burden of unsustainable debt levels.

Operationalisation of the African Continental Free Trade Area is poised to be a game-changer. By establishing the world’s largest free trade area by member countries, AfCFTA promises a unified market for goods and services, unlocking regional integration and paving the way for financial harmonisation. The Pan-African Payment and Settlement System, a critical enabler under AfCFTA, is maturing rapidly. It is already facilitating cross-border transactions in local currencies, reducing reliance on foreign exchange reserves and lowering transaction costs. This innovation is particularly impactful in the growing fintech and sustainable finance sectors, where cost efficiency and accessibility are paramount.

Africa’s capital markets are also witnessing notable progress. Egypt and Nigeria have successfully issued green bonds, attracting billions in investments from global investors prioritising sustainability. These efforts signal the continent’s growing ability to align with international trends in sustainable finance. Meanwhile, initiatives to integrate stock exchanges in Kenya, Nigeria and South Africa are improving market liquidity, reducing investment barriers and fostering regional co-operation.

Banks are equally instrumental in driving growth and resilience. Institutions such as Access Bank Group and Standard Bank are scaling operations across the continent, providing much-needed credit to small- and medium-sized enterprises. Since SMEs account for up to 90% of businesses and contribute significantly to African employment, this support is crucial for job creation and economic diversification. These developments reflect Africa’s increasing capacity to navigate challenges and build a robust financial ecosystem.

Africa’s digital transformation

Collaborative ecosystems will be crucial in 2025, and the digitalisation of financial systems is instrumental in fostering these ecosystems. Platforms such as Flutterwave, M-Pesa and Chipper Cash are driving the fintech revolution. These platforms facilitate seamless payments, expand credit access and enable financial inclusion, especially in underserved rural areas.

Collaborative public-private partnerships are also addressing infrastructure and connectivity gaps. For example, US-backed programmes aim to connect millions of farmers and SMEs to the digital economy, highlighting the importance of integrated solutions over siloed approaches.

G20 leadership and global partnerships

In 2024, Africa solidified its position at the forefront of global climate efforts, becoming a pivotal voice in shaping the sustainability agenda. South Africa’s G20 presidency in 2025 now provides an opportunity to amplify Africa’s influence on the international stage. Among its key priorities is establishing a Global Cost-of-Living Commission to address the skyrocketing food and energy prices – issues disproportionately affecting vulnerable economies. This initiative could provide a much-needed lifeline to nations grappling with external shocks, including inflation, supply chain disruptions and the economic fallout of climate change. The presidency also underscores Africa’s call for more equitable financial governance in institutions like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank to increase voting rights and representation for African countries.

Partnerships with developed nations are evolving from aid dependency towards investment-driven collaborations. The replenishment of multilateral funds such as the International Development Association and the Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust offers critical support for Africa’s development trajectory. These mechanisms are set to finance vital infrastructure projects, bolster climate resilience initiatives and underpin social development programmes, ensuring the continent is better equipped to navigate persistent challenges while capitalising on emerging opportunities.

Strategic initiatives like Italy’s Mattei Plan – which advocates for equitable and sustainable partnerships between Europe and Africa – highlight the growing recognition of Africa’s global importance. This plan emphasises energy, sustainability and development investments rather than resource extraction, signalling a shift towards mutual benefit and long-term co-operation.

Furthermore, commitments from key partners, including China’s Belt and Road Initiative, South Korea’s technology transfer programmes and the European Union’s Global Gateway strategy, emphasise Africa’s rising geopolitical and economic significance. Brics nations have also demonstrated their support for Africa’s growth through enhanced trade agreements, capacity-building programmes and the establishment of the New Development Bank, which increasingly focuses on funding African development priorities.

With strategic leadership and well-aligned partnerships, Africa’s role in global economic and governance frameworks is poised for significant advancement in 2025. This is an opportunity for the continent to address its immediate challenges and a moment to shape a more equitable and sustainable global order.

Action points for Africa’s financial leadership

To solidify its position in global finance, Africa must prioritise actionable strategies across three key domains: strengthening its financial sector, fostering continent-wide partnerships, and advancing systemic reforms at the regional and global levels. These efforts will build resilience and position Africa as a proactive agent in shaping its economic future.

First, enhancing the efficiency and inclusivity of Africa’s financial sector is critical. The continent’s financial industry benefits from increased competition by encouraging diverse service providers, such as fintech startups and non-bank financial institutions, to challenge traditional banking models. Expanding access to digital financial services – such as mobile banking, e-wallets and digital payment platforms – can empower underserved populations, especially in rural areas, while stimulating grassroots economic activity. Notably, mobile money services like M-Pesa have already demonstrated their transformative potential. Complementing these efforts with financial literacy campaigns and consumer protection frameworks will build trust, safeguard users and reinforce the system’s resilience against shocks.

Second, partnerships must transition into strategic, outcome-driven collaborations. Public-private partnerships should focus on bridging critical infrastructure and digital connectivity gaps, emphasising integrating rural and underserved areas into the broader economy. For example, initiatives like the African Union’s Digital Transformation Strategy 2030 can be blueprints for leveraging connectivity to unlock economic growth. At the same time, intra-continental mechanisms like the AfCFTA and the PAPSS must be fully operationalised to harmonise markets, reduce trade barriers and facilitate seamless cross-border commerce. Partnerships with global stakeholders can further catalyse funding for transformative infrastructure projects, renewable energy initiatives and digital inclusion programmes.

Finally, systemic reforms are essential to address the continent’s structural challenges. Regional coordination on key issues, such as debt sustainability and financial governance, is crucial. Many African nations grapple with unsustainable debt levels, requiring innovative debt restructuring mechanisms and sound fiscal and monetary policies to alleviate financial strain. On the global stage, Africa must intensify its push for equitable representation in international financial institutions like the IMF and World Bank. Securing greater voting rights and influencing global policy decisions will ensure that Africa’s specific priorities – such as climate finance and development funding – are adequately addressed.

By uniting around these priorities, Africa can become a cornerstone of international economic and climate strategies. Bold, coordinated action will turn aspirations into tangible achievements, positioning 2025 as a year of transformation and leadership. The narrative is shifting, and Africa’s time to lead has arrived.

Udaibir Das is a visiting professor at the National Council of Applied Economic Research, senior non-resident adviser at the Bank of England, senior adviser of the International Forum for Sovereign Wealth Funds, and distinguished fellow at the Observer Research Foundation America. He was previously at the Bank for International Settlements and the International Monetary Fund.

Published in: OMFIF, 06 Jan 2025