National Council of Applied Economic Research
Will limiting rural employment guarantees to the 200 poorest districts improve targeting? Probably not. Results from the India Human Development Survey suggest that targeting districts is likely to be ineffective—and that it may be better to target households.
Forecast Overall, the projections for 2013-14 based on quarterly and annual models point to a GDP growth of 4.7-4.9 per cent. While agricultural growth is projected to return to more normal level, improvement in thegrowth of non-agricultural sectors is projected to lead to overall GDP growth of 5.6 per cent in 2014-15. Agriculture Agrichultural forecasts... Read More
Labour: 100 Days under MGNREGA: Reality or Myth? The Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA) was notified on September 7, 2005. Industry: Drivers of Poor Manufacturing Growth The fiscal year 2013–14 was marked by slow growth and high inflation. External: Diaspora and Development through Business Networks The Ministry of Overseas Indian Affairs has... Read More
Prices: Inflationary Expectations The spectre of inflation continues to haunt India. Gender: Gender Educational Gap: Evidence from India Significant empirical evidence exists which show that increase in educational attainment has a positive impact on both economic growth and development. Information, Communication and Technology (ICT): e-Governance: Smart Government for Smart People As an increasingly assertive populace... Read More
External: China's Third Booster China posted impressive economic growth between 1990 and 2012. Poverty: Is MNREGA Benefiting the Rural Poor? Enacted in 2005 and launched on February 2, 2006 the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MNREGA) is aimed at providing at least 100 days of guaranteed wage employment in a financial year to... Read More
Bountiful rain has had a positive impact on agricultural growth but it will not be enough to pull up the rest of the economy which is suffering from a lack of confidence, high inflation, dismal domestic scenario and uncertain external scenario. Predictably growth rates have been revised onwards.
Forecast: Re-assessing the Macroeconomic Scene for 2013–14 The economic fundamentals of the Indian economy continue to remain weak despite several policy initiatives taken by the government during the past few months. Business Expectations: Lower Business Confidence in September 2013 The 86th round of the Business Expectations Survey carried out in the second quarter of... Read More
Macro: A Tale of Two Districts The intent in this article is to highlight regional imbalances within India using district-level data. Tourism: Tourism Profile of Madhya Pradesh A major economic activity, highly employment-oriented and a huge source of foreign exchange, tourism world-wide today has a 10 per cent share in world GDP which is more... Read More
Prices: Asset InflationS The role of asset price inflation has gained prominence after the financial crisis of 2008 due to the role of sub-prime housing loans in the United States. Agriculture: Small is Beautiful The relationship between land size and yield per unit of area cultivated has been intensely debated since the 1960s. Health: Old and Lonely: Healthcare The... Read More
After falling to a decadal low of five per cent GDP growth in 2012–13, the outlook for 2013–14 can at best be described as cautiously hopeful that a slow recovery is in the works. The first quarter has not brought much cheer, other than on the inflation (WPI) front. While the risk in terms of... Read More
