India at 125: Reclaiming the Lost Glory and Returning the Global Economy to the Old Normal

India at 125: Reclaiming the Lost Glory and Returning the Global Economy to the Old Normal

12 March, 2024

According to the GDP estimates by economic historian Angus Maddison, 1st century CE onwards India had the largest share of global GDP for 1500 years and shared the top spot with China until 1870. Today, with India becoming the world’s fifth-largest economy, it is no longer unrealistic to pose the question whether China and India can again come to occupy the top two spots—what is a plausible transition to this old normal? What challenges does India face in its quest to get there and what is the pathway to conquering those? How will the race between the USA, China, and India evolve once India becomes the world’s third-largest economy? The paper also explores the assumptions behind predicted growth rates for India to catch up with the USA by 2072.

Latest Publications

Working Papers
30 April 2026

Pathways to Jobs: A Review of India’s Labour Reforms

Farzana Afridi, Arjita Chandna & others
Working Papers
13 October 2025

Building Water Accounts: Physical Supply and Use Tables for India’s Water Resources

Chetana Chaudhuri, Raktimava Bose & others
Working Papers
01 October 2025

Women in Policymaking: Social Spending and Outcomes

Benedict Clements, Huy Nguyen & others

    Get updates from NCAER