Inflation Targeting for India?: The Implications of Limited Asset Market Participation

Inflation Targeting for India?: The Implications of Limited Asset Market Participation

This paper analyzes whether liquidity constraints matter for optimal monetary policy choices in an open economy. Asset market participation is limited as some agents lack financial capacity and behave in a hand-to-mouth fashion. I evaluate consumer welfare using a micro-founded welfare criterion derived through perturbation techniques, and find that the presence of liquidity constraints requires re-thinking conventional monetary policy design. Simple rules are ranked. While consumer price index (CPI) inflation targeting is appropriate in a fully Ricardian economy, a nominal exchange rate peg is shown to be least suboptimal when financial participation is low. The analysis is applied to the Indian context where monetary policy has recently been overhauled and a new CPI inflation targeting regime is being implemented.

Latest Publications

Working Papers
05 October 2026

India’s Occupational Transformation: A Tale of Two Escalators

Sonalde Desai & Pallavi Choudhuri
Working Papers
13 August 2026

The Fiscal Landscape of West Bengal: Performance, Challenges and a Roadmap for Consolidation

Anil K Sharma, Aswathi R. Nair & others
Working Papers
13 August 2026

Assessing the Fiscal Dynamics of Chhattisgarh State: A Comparative Study with Jharkhand and Odisha

Anil K Sharma, Arjita Chandna & others

    Get updates from NCAER