Developing an Input-Output Table for Gujarat with new Green Industries

The objective of this study is to analyse job creation and growth potential of the state of Gujarat using both secondary and primary data sources through input-output modeling. The degree of impact of exogenous factors on output of a particular sector on all sectors through different multiplier effects is examined. Three of the most frequently used types of multiplier estimate the impacts of the exogenous changes on (i) outputs of the sectors in the economy (output multiplier), (ii) income earned by households because of the new outputs (income multiplier), and (iii) employment that is expected to be generated because of the new output (employment multiplier).

Study of the Impact of Parallel Imports of Books, Films/ Music, and Software on the Indian Economy with Special Reference to Students

The Indian Copyright Act (1957) prohibits parallel imports of books, films/music and software. The copyright (Amendment) Bill 2010 seeks to insert the following proviso to section 2 of the IPA (1957): “provided that a copy of a work published in any country outside India with the permission of the author of the work and imported from that country into India shall not be deemed to be an infringing copy”. The study undertook cost-benefit analysis for producers and consumers of these products as a consequence of parallel imports being allowed in India.

Evaluation of Alternative Models of Land Pooling and Development in NCT of Delhi

The study examines the financial viability of alternative models of land pooling for development of urban extensions in Delhi with a view to encourage private participation in provision of land and affordable housing. The study evaluates three alternative models of land pooling and development on the basis of realistic land values, market trends, and land holding costs during the project period, administrative charges, promotional charges, taxes, approval expenses and realistic sale price of the built up area. The alternative models also include any parameters that the government may consider necessary to achieve land development.

 

 

Macroeconomic Modelling of Emerging Scenarios for India’s Twelth Five Year Plan

The objective of this project is to analyze three alternative growth scenarios for the Twelfth Five Year Plan (2012–13 to 2016–17). These three scenarios present the expected GDP growth rates of the Indian economy under various policy actions and institutional and regulatory frameworks. The updated macro econometric model developed at NCAER was used to provide emerging scenarios. The results indicate that GDP growth rate is expected to be around 8 per cent for the Twelfth Five Year Plan period under the “flotilla” scenario, 5–6 per cent under the “muddling along” scenario and below 5 per cent under the “falling apart” scenario. The study also found that poverty reduction is expected to be high under the first scenario and would be low under the other two scenarios.

Macroeconomic Modelling for the Eleventh Five Year Plan and Beyond

The objective of this project is to develop capacity for analysing issues on economic growth and welfare under a variety of policy choices in government spending in the provision of public goods and other measures that influence the course of the economy. The macro econometric model developed under the project has been used to provide simulation scenarios relating to impact of international oil prices, worsening global economic growth, a managed current account and fiscal balance and the impact of Middle East crisis on economic growth prospects of the Indian economy.

 

 

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