Quarterly Business Expectations Survey

NCAER has been tracking the business confidence of Indian firms through a quarterly Business Expectations Survey since 1991. The survey provides an assessment of the present conditions and short-term prospects for India’s business environment based on responses from more than 500 companies in six metropolitan cities in India. The survey includes information on firm characteristics, firm expectations of change in input and output costs, their labour employment and wage situations, inventories, prospects for sales, exports and imports and profits. All this data is collated to form the final index using four parameters: overall economic conditions, investment climate, financial position of the firm and capacity utilisation. The survey also captures business confidence in India’s political management of economic policies through the Political Confidence Index (PCI).

A Press Note on NCAER’s latest Business Expectations Survey for 2022–23:Q1 is available for download.

For further information on the Business Expectations Survey, please contact Dr Bornali Bhandari.

FDI in India and its Growth Linkages

Foreign direct investment (FDI) plays a multidimensional role in the overall development of the host economies.  The present study aims at providing a detailed understanding of the spatial and sectoral spread of the FDI-enabled production facilities in India and their linkages with the rural and suburban areas. The corresponding impact on output, value-added, capital and employment in the regions receiving FDI has also been worked out.  FDI-enabled plants in India are spread across various states with relatively high concentration in Maharashtra, Gujarat, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka and West Bengal. A significant proportion of manufacturing plants are located in small cities (population less than 5,00,000). More than two-fifth of the market capitalisation originates in small cities. FDI-enabled service facilities have a relatively high concentration in Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu. The proportion of service facilities located in small cities is relatively less significant vis-a-vis manufacturing plants.

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