Many women have no say in marriage

Four out of ten women in India still have no say in their marriage eight out of ten need permission to visit a doctor six out of ten practise some form of head covering and the average Indian household gives over Rs. 30000 in dowry. These are among the findings of a major new large-scale sample survey shared exclusively with The Hindu.

The National Council for Applied Economic Research (NCAER) conducts the India Human Development Survey (IHDS) the largest household survey in India after the government’s Nation Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO) surveys and the NCAER is the only independent body that conducts such large-sample panel surveys. The survey covers economic data on income and expenditure development data on education and health and sociological data on caste gender and religion. For the next two weeks The Hindu will report exclusively on the key findings of NCAER’s latest round that covers 2011-12 data. This survey covered 42000 households across the country weighted nationally and 83% of them were also interviewed for the 2004-5 round of the IHDS.

The data shows that India has made progress in child marriage with 48% of women over 25 reporting in 2011-12 that they were married before the age of 18 as opposed to 60% in 2004-5. The average number of children that women (over 40) reported they had had has also come down slightly to 3.55 indicating that fertility is falling. The practice of marrying a cousin or relative – more common in the south than the north – is becoming less common but over 20% in Andhra Pradesh and Karnata still marry relatives.

However women’s autonomy remains severely constrained. 41% of women had no say in their marriage and just 18% knew their husbands before marriage a statistic that has not improved. Women’s say in marriage rose with their level of education with income and with level of urbanisation and the southern states did better.

Just 10% said that they could take the primary decision to buy large items for the house less than 20% had their names on the house’s papers and 81% needed permission to visit a doctor. 60% of women – including 59% of forward caste Hindus and 83% of Muslim women – practised some form of `purdah’ or `ghunghat’. Over half of all women said it was common for women in their community to be beaten if they went out without permission.

“Those of us in the women’s movement and in progressive groups have been saying right from the beginning that instead of focussing on instruments of security like the police alone there needs to be a transformation inside the home in schools in communities” Suneeta Dhar director of the women’s rights group Jagori told The Hindu.

The average Indian family gives over Rs. 30000 in cash as dowry and 40% admitted to giving large items like TVs and cars as dowry. The practise of giving large items as dowry was most common among forward caste Hindus and lowest among Muslims. Wedding expenses ranged from nearly Rs 1 lakh in the poorest village to Rs 1.7 lakh in small cities a big jump over the 2004-5 survey. Kerala and Delhi had the most expensive weddings.

PK Ghosh/PK Roy/Mythili Bhusnurmath: How the savings cookie crumbles

Indian households have always accounted for the major share of gross domestic savings. But they seem to have lost the savings habit now. You can blame some of that on consumerism. But what explains the fall in the share of their savings in financial instruments? Received wisdom says persistently high inflation since 2009. Years of negative real returns from a host of financial instruments especially bank deposits has seen Indian households react in the only way they can — by turning to physical assets typically gold.

According to the RBI household savings declined from 25.2 per cent in 2009-10 to 22.3 per cent in 2011-12. Worse financial savings by households fell to a paltry eight per cent in 2011-12 down from 12 per cent in 2009-10 and 10.4 per cent in 2010-11 even as savings in physical assets rose to touch 14.3 per cent in 2011-12 up from 13.1 per cent in 2010-11.

But savings in financial instruments are the bedrock of a modern financial system. Corporates seeking to raise both equity and debt and governments looking for ways to fund their deficits need finance. Typically this need is met predominantly by savers willing to hold their savings in the form of financial instruments.

What happens if savers turn their face against financial instruments? In countries like India where households account for the major share of savings the fallout can be disastrous. Not only are banks starved of lendable funds the resort to gold import has adverse consequences for our balance of payments.

But are households across the country uniformly disenchanted with all financial assets? Or do certain financial assets find more favour than others? Is there a regional pattern to these preferences? Do factors like literacy income levels and the rural-urban divide play a role in determining people’s choices? Not much information is available regarding the distribution of savings by households at the disaggregated level — state-wise in terms of income decile rural-urban divide and so on.

 

Urban-rural divide

The NCAER’s NISHIE (national survey of household income and expenditure) survey 2010-11 provides some interesting insights. First the rural-urban divide. While the average household income in urban areas is almost twice that in rural areas the average household investment in financial assets in urban areas is thrice that in rural areas.

Savings in bank deposits are the overwhelming favourite in both rural as well as urban areas with rural households opting to hold 46.7 per cent of their financial assets in bank deposits and urban households following close behind at 44.6 per cent.

When it comes to the second-most popular form of savings there is a clear divergence between rural and urban areas with rural households preferring insurance to savings in provident funds both employee and public provident funds as compared to urban households who seem to prefer the latter.

Insurance is a more complicated product than provident fund. But the apparent contradiction is perhaps explained by the medical insurance cover extended under programmes such as the Rashtriya Swasthya Bima Yojna in rural areas while the larger share of the organised work force in urban areas relative to rural areas explains why PF/PPF are the second-most popular form of savings in urban areas.

A state-wise comparison shows households in Punjab Haryana and Rajasthan have a strong preference for bank deposits with over 55 per cent of financial assets being held in bank deposits.

In contrast households in Kerala and Andhra Pradesh hold less than 30 per cent of their savings in bank deposits. Both states have a strong network of bank branches so poor access to banks may not be the reason why bank deposits are less favoured. The reason perhaps lies in the relatively greater share of household savings going towards self-help groups/chit funds and the stock market; yes even in Left-dominated Kerala!

As against the all-India average of just 2.1 per cent of household savings going to the SHGs/chit funds households in Kerala invested about a fifth of their financial savings in them while the comparable number for households in Andhra was 9.4 per cent.

Again households in Andhra and Kerala saved about 6.1 and 5.1 per cent of their total financial savings in the stock market as against all-India average of 2.8 per cent. Another interesting finding is that households in Assam particularly in rural areas put about one-fifth of their savings in the post office followed by West Bengal which is 10.8 per cent. It may be due to the non-existence of other financial institutions or more trust in government institutions.

Impact of literacy

Does literacy make a difference to how households allocate their savings among different instruments? It would certainly seem so with more literate households opting to keep less of their savings in the form of cash.

Surprisingly this inverse relationship seems more pronounced in rural rather than urban areas. The correlation coefficient is -0.66 in the former compared to -0.45 in the latter.

The correlation with stock market investments is much weaker. Higher literacy levels do not seem to be a factor in motivating people to invest in the stock market; though here again in a rather counter-intuitive finding the relationship seemed stronger in rural rather than urban areas.

As might be expected households in Gujarat are more engaged with the stock market than elsewhere in the country.

The surprise however is that Gujarat known for its entrepreneurial culture does not top the list of states in terms of the share of household savings in the stock market. It ranks number three well behind Tamil Nadu and Andhra . Maharashtra the state that houses the financial capital

Mumbai comes even further behind at number five. Contrary to the widespread belief of households in the south being conservative Tamil Nadu Andhra and Kerala figure in the list of top five states in terms of the share of household savings both in SHG/chit funds and the stock market.

National Remote Payments Survey

Despite their significance and importance to the economy, research on domestic remittances in India has been severely limited by the lack of nationally representative data on such remittances.

Women labour force participation and domestic violence: Evidence from India

Domestic violence is recognised as a serious violation of women’s basic rights. Conventional economic models of domestic violence suggest that higher participation by women in the labour force leads to a decrease in domestic violence. In this paper, we study the relationship between women employment and domestic violence in India. We used a nationally representative database, National Family Health Survey Data III (2005–06), for our analysis. We found that employed women are more exposed to intimate partner violence. We argue that the higher emotional cost of men through the violation of traditional gender norm leads to increased domestic violence.

High exports, farm output improve business confidence: NCAER

After a slide in the second quarter of the present fiscal higher exports enhanced farm produce and moderation in inflation improved business confidence during the October-December period think-tank NCAER said on Monday.
The Business Confidence Index (BCI) rose by 21.8 per cent in theJanuary 2014 survey over the previous quarter the National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER) said in a latest study. BCI increased to 122.3 points from 100.4 in July-September quarter 2013-14.

There was a continued slide in business sentiment through 2012-13 on concerns of slower growth coupled with high inflation it said. However business conditions witnessed some fluctuations in 2013-14 as “exports improved agricultural output grew combined with signs of moderation of inflation rate.”

“The BCI reflects these fluctuations as it shows significant improvement in its latest survey for the third quarter of FY13-14 following a decline in the previous quarter” it said. Also Political Confidence Index (PCI) – a measure of related business sector perceptions — increased for the successive quarter showing an improvement of 9.8 per cent to 112.9 points. The study revealed that manufacturing sector firms were more optimistic than services sector during the third quarter.

The highest growth was recorded in intermediate goods sector followed by consumer goods non-durables. “The firm level indicators reveal expectations of improved domestic sales production imports exports and pre-tax profits in the next six months compared with the previous quarter” the study said.

According to the study both input cost and ex-factory prices are likely to increase in the next six months. However within input cost only cost of electricity per unit of output is likely to moderate.

It also said employment of all types of labour is also likely to improve in the short run along with wage rates.

NCAER survey was conducted during Assembly elections in five states. It takes into account influence of the
election process on business sentiments besides business and financial data.

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