‘Conversations with NCAER’ | Digital Currencies: What does the future hold? (First webinar)

The first in a new monthly webinar series , ‘Conversations with NCAER’ instituted by NCAER was organised on October 18, 2021. This webinar series revolve around discussions with experts on topical issues in the macroeconomic arena. For the first conversation on Digital Currencies: What does the future hold, NCAER invited Professor Eswar Prasad, Tolani Senior Professor of International Trade Policy at Cornell University and Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution, where he holds the New Century Chair in Economics, Dr D Subbarao, former Governor, Reserve Bank of India and Mr AP Hota, former MD and CEO, National Payments Corporation of India, the umbrella organisation for operating retail payments and settlement systems in India, and the main driving force behind digitisation in India as panelists. The discussion was moderated by Ms Mythili Bhusnurmath, Senior Advisor, NCAER.

Digital currencies, that is, cryptos, stable coins and central bank digital currencies are grabbing eyeballs and headlines all over the world. As of September 2021, the total market value of all the crypto assets had surpassed $2 trillion, signifying a ten-fold increase since early 2020. The rise of virtual currencies has been accompanied by the emergence of an entire ecosystem – exchanges, wallets, miners, and issuers – posing a challenge to countries across the world.  As crypto assets become more mainstream, their importance in terms of potential implications for the wider economy is bound to increase. What are the risks, the opportunities, the merits and demerits of virtual currencies and the path-breaking block chain technology underlying these currencies? The rich discussions in this webinar and the Q&A that followed strived to de-mystify all this and more.

What are the risks, the opportunities, the merits and demerits of virtual currencies and the path-breaking block chain technology underlying these currencies? This webinar on Digital Currencies: What does the future hold? seeks to de-mystify all this and more.

Eswar Prasad is the Tolani Senior Professor of Trade Policy and Professor of Economics at Cornell University. He is also a Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution, where he holds the New Century Chair in International Economics, and a Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research. He was previously chief of the Financial Studies Division in the IMF’s Research Department and, before that, was the head of the IMF’s China Division.

Prasad’s latest book is The Future of Money: How the Digital Revolution is Transforming Currencies and Finance (Harvard University Press, 2021). He is also the author of Gaining Currency: The Rise of the Renminbi (Oxford, 2016) and The Dollar Trap: How the U.S. Dollar Tightened Its Grip on Global Finance (Princeton, 2014). Prasad has testified before the Senate Finance Committee, the House of Representatives Committee on Financial Services, and the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission. He is the creator of the Brookings-Financial Times world economy index (TIGER: Tracking Indices for the Global Economic Recovery). His op-ed articles have appeared in the Financial Times, Foreign Policy, Harvard Business Review, International Herald Tribune, New York Times, Wall Street Journal, and Washington Post.

Duvvuri Subbarao was the Governor of the Reserve Bank of India for five years (2008-13). Prior to that, Subbarao served as the Finance Secretary to the Government of India, and as Secretary to the Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council 2005-07. He was also a Lead Economist in the World Bank 1999-2004. As a career civil servant for over 35 years, he worked in various positions in the state government of Andhra Pradesh and in the central government in New Delhi mostly in the area of public finance management. He has most recently been a Distinguished International Fellow at the University of Pennsylvania, and has served as a Distinguished Visiting Fellow at the National University of Singapore.
He has written and spoken extensively on issues in macroeconomic management, public finance and financial sector reforms. During his tenure at the Reserve Bank, he was also recognised as a leading exponent of central banking issues from an emerging market perspective. He holds a Masters in Physics from the Indian Institute of Technology, Kanpur, and an MS in Economics from Ohio State University, and studied Public Finance from MIT as a Humphrey Fellow. He earned his PhD in Economics from Andhra University in India.

A P Hota, former Managing Director and CEO of National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI) was also the Head of Department of Payment and Settlement Systems (DPSS) at Reserve Bank of India (RBI). He combines the experience of a central banker with that of a service provider in digital payments.
During his tenure at NPCI as founder MD and CEO during the period February 2009 to August 2017, a host of game changing electronic payment products like Immediate Payment System (IMPS), RuPay Card- India’s domestic card network, Aadhar Payments Bridge (APB), Aadhar Enabled Payment System (AEPS), Electronic Toll Collection (ETC) System, Bharat Bill Pay System (BBPS) and the most talked about payment platform named Unified Payments Interface (UPI) were introduced.  All these products have transformed India’s payments landscape   during the past 5-7 years. Post retirement from RBI and NPCI, Shri Hota now serves as an Independent Director on the Boards of a few institutions and advises in the area of national strategy in payments.

Mythili  Bhusnurmath is Senior Advisor, NCAER and Consulting Editor, ET Now TV. She holds a Master’s in Economics from the Delhi School of Economics and is Certified Associate of the Indian Institute of Bankers. She also holds a law degree from Delhi University.

She worked with the State Bank of India and Reserve Bank of India before moving to journalism in 1993. She was Opinion Page Editor, The Economic Times and Editor, The Financial Express.

Data Talks: The NCAER Data Innovation Centre Methodology Seminars (Fourth Seminar)

Employment Decline and Recovery during the Pandemic

The NCAER National Data Innovation Centre (NDIC) held a seminar on “Employment Decline and Recovery during the Pandemic”, on October 7, 2021.  This webinar was the fourth in a series of thought-provoking discussions on research methodologies organised by NDIC, in which distinguished speakers in the field share their views. The participants in the discussion included Sonalde Desai, NCAER and the University of Maryland; Ankur Sarin, Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad; Rahul Lahoti, ETH, Zurich and Azim Premji University; and Kaushik Krishnan, Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy. Santanu Pramanik, Senior Fellow and the Deputy Director of the National Data Innovation Centre at NCAER, moderated the session.

Over the last 18 months, the pandemic has taken its toll on the lives and livelihoods of individuals around the globe. Unfortunately, the social distancing requirements have also made it difficult for us to measure the impact of this catastrophe. The speakers in this webinar represented research projects with diverse goals and methodologies; a conversation among them is designed to understand the employment impact of the pandemic and recovery using different methods of data collection. This enriching discussion offered a unique opportunity for exploring the short- and long-term economic effects on different segments of the Indian population from a holistic perspective.

 

Sonalde Desai presented on “Employment Vulnerability during the Pandemic”.

Desai is a Distinguished University Professor at the University of Maryland and Professor at NCAER, and Director of NCAER’s National Data Innovation Centre. She is a demographer whose work deals primarily with social inequalities in developing countries, focusing on gender and class inequalities in human development. She leads the India Human Development Survey and has been elected as the President of the Population Association of America for 2022.

Ankur Sarin spoke on “Vulnerabilities in Rural India: Surveys by Field-based Organisations”.

Sarin is an Associate Professor at the Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad. A shared theme in his research is attention to the consequences of inequalities and instruments used to counter them. These include public policies, social enterprises, and movements. In his recent work, he has tried to use field-based research to study and facilitate the fulfilment of policy obligations to citizens, especially children. He holds a Ph.D. (Public Policy) from the Harris School of Public Policy, University of Chicago, and a BA (Economics), Bates College.

Rahul Lahoti presented on “Lessons and Challenges from Measuring Employment and Incomes during the Pandemic.”

Lahoti is a researcher at ETH, Zurich, and Faculty Fellow at Center for Sustainable Employment, Azim Premji University. His research focuses on gender, labour markets, poverty, and inequality. He was involved in three phone surveys during the pandemic and has analysed secondary data to understand the distributional impacts of the pandemic on employment and income. He holds a Ph.D. from the University of Göttingen, Germany, and a Master’s in Public Administration from Columbia University, New York.

Kaushik Krishnan presented on “Employment during the lockdowns as captured by the Consumer Pyramids Household Survey (CPHS)”.

Krishnan works in the Household Survey division of CMIE. His primary responsibility is to deliver record-level data from the Consumer Pyramids Household Survey to researchers. He holds an LLM and Ph.D. in Economics from UC Berkeley.

Know Your Regulator Series | Why you should ‘Know your Regulator’?

The IEPF Unit, NCAER in collaboration with The State Capacity Initiative at the Centre for Policy Research (CPR), the Forum of Indian Regulators (FOIR), and the Indian Institute of Corporate Affairs (IICA) organised this first event of the Know Your Regulator Series. The talk featured Dr M. S. Sahoo, Chairperson, Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of India (IBBI) and Honorary Chairperson, Forum of Indian Regulators (FOIR) in conversation with Dr KP Krishnan, IEPF Chair Professor in Regulatory Economics, NCAER and Dr Mekhala Krishnamurthy, Senior Fellow, CPR and Director, State Capacity Initiative. The session, held virtually, is the curtain raiser to a series of sessions that will follow.

About the ‘Know Your Regulator’ Series

The State Capacity Initiative at the Centre for Policy Research (CPR), the National Council for Applied Economic Research (NCAER), the Forum of Indian Regulators (FOIR) and the Indian Institute of Corporate Affairs (IICA) are pleased to announce a new talk series titled: ‘Know Your Regulator’ In this series, we will talk to the people entrusted with the task of regulating Indian markets and various parts and aspects of the economy. These are the chairpersons and members of India’s regulatory agencies.

In our conversations, we will seek to explore the public nature of regulatory activity. In other words, why should the work of regulatory agencies be of interest to people, as producers, consumers, professionals, service providers, and as citizens? What are the public goals of regulation? In what ways does the work of regulation involve having to make a balance, or to make trade-offs, or to amicably resolve competing or even conflicting claims of public and private interest?

Regulatory agencies are a relatively recent innovation of the Indian state, set up to address the evolving needs of the Indian economy in the decades since the 1990s (although with some notable older instances). We are interested in exploring the institutional form of the regulatory agencies, their features, norms and values, and their frameworks of decision-making and rationality. We are also interested in the functional domain and the everyday administration of the regulatory agencies, their staffing, procedures, information systems and operational modalities.

Regulatory agencies are envisaged as a state agency that can respond to complex and changing situations, both at the level of policy recommendation and in case-specific ruling. In the conception of regulatory agencies, this was thought of as a challenge that would be addressed through specialisation, expertise and in the design of their power and functions. However, each regulatory agency is also unique, in terms of the way in which its regulatory mandate is designed and the nature of the challenges that it is set up to address. In this talk series, we will seek to explore the regulatory debates (both broad and sectoral) that animate the world of regulation, and how it relates to the rest of us.

Data Talks: The NCAER Data Innovation Centre Methodology Seminars (Third Seminar)

Using Life History Calendars to Improve Measurement of Lifetime Experience with
Trauma and Psychiatric Disorders

The third webinar in the NCAER Seminar series on Data Collection Methodology was organised by the NCAER National Data Innovation Centre on August 25, 2021. The webinar is part of a series of thought-provoking discussions on research methodologies in which distinguished speakers in the field share their views and one or more discussants reflect on them from an Indian perspective. The first seminar in this series held in March was presented by Stanley Presser, Distinguished University Professor at the University of Maryland while the second seminar hosted in the month of June was delivered by Frauke Kreuter, Professor of Statistics and Data Science for the Social Sciences and Humanities at the Ludwig-Maximilians-University of Munich (Germany) and Professor at the Joint Program in Survey Methodology at the University of Maryland.

In this third webinar NCAER-NDIC hosted William G. Axinn, Professor of Survey Research, Population Studies at the University of Michigan, and Stephanie Chardoul, Director of Survey Research Operations (SRO) at the University of Michigan. P. Arokiasamy, retired Professor at the International Institute for Population Sciences was the discussant for the talk. It was held virtually.

Accurate lifetime measurement of the general population’s experience with health disorders poses a significant challenge. However, these lifetime measures are crucially important to establish population prevalence and to enable population-level research. The study presented in this webinar focuses on psychiatric disorders, specifically alcohol use disorder (AUD), major depressive disorder (MDD), generalised anxiety disorder (GAD), and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), and uses life history calendars (LHCs) to dramatically improve lifetime measures of these disorders. It features a large-scale general population experiment using WHO’s Composite International Diagnostic Interview (CIDI) to measure AUD, MDD, GAD, and PTSD. Respondents for this study were randomly assigned to receive an integrated LHC and CIDI interview and a CIDI interview with no LHC. The study brings forth that the careful use of the LHC increases rates of both screening and diagnosis for the disorders, and produces greater reporting of exposure to potentially traumatic experiences. The LHC also produces accurate reports of age of onset, which is valuable for analyses of causes, consequences, and service needs related to mental health.

William G. Axinn is Professor of survey research, population studies, sociology and public policy at the University of Michigan. Axinn is a social demographer studying community, intergenerational, and social psychological influences on marriage, childbearing, reproductive health, mental health and the natural environment. He is director of the Chitwan Valley Family Study (CVFS), a 25-year, mixed method, whole-family longitudinal study in Nepal. He is also co-investigator on multiple different data collection projects related to family change and reproductive health in the US

Stephanie Chardoul is the Director of Survey Research Operations (SRO) at the University of Michigan’s Survey Research Center (SRC). During her tenure at SRC, she has been the Manager of the Survey Services Laboratory (telephone facility), Senior Survey Director, Director of the Project Design and Management Group, and Director of Proposals. Her substantive interests include cross-cultural survey methods, building survey research infrastructure, and mental health. Stephanie has been a member of the Data Collection Coordinating Centre for the long-running World Mental Health Survey Initiative, and is the Director of the WHO Composite International Diagnostic Interview (CIDI) Training Centre.

Perianayagam Arokiasamy served as faculty for over three decades at the International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai. His subject areas of teaching and research expertise cover demography, public health, ageing and global health, development studies and large-scale health survey research. As the lead Principal Investigator, he directed several surveys and research studies including LASI Wave 1, SAGE India wave 1, 2, and 3, WHO-World Health Survey, NFHS-3 (2004-09).

NCAER’s Investor Education and Protection Fund (IEPF) chair unit celebrates its first anniversary

NCAER’s Investor Education and Protection Fund (IEPF) chair unit completes its first year today, August 6, 2021. It marks a one-year long journey of the unit’s work in promoting investor awareness and protection of investor interests.

Investor Education and Protection Fund Authority (IEPFA) was established as a statutory authority by the Government of India in September, 2016. The Authority inter-alia administers the fund for the education and protection of the investors. IEPFA established this chair at NCAER in August,2020. Under the guidance of the IEPF Chair Professor Dr KP Krishnan, the IEPF unit focuses on conducting research on contemporary issues related to investor education & protection, analysing & reviewing the underlying economic, legal, and regulatory foundations. Additionally, the research unit aims to develop knowledge products, case studies, research articles and organizing workshops, conferences, seminars on issues related to investor education & protection.
The Unit completed its entire first year through the pandemic period. Hence most of its activities have been virtual in keeping with the government instructions. Starting December 2020, the unit conducted a series of five workshops on Investor Education and Protection . The workshop series was inaugurated on December 16, 2020 with a keynote address by RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das. This series of five NCAER workshops, held virtually, covered investor education issues in securities market, insurance, pension funds payment systems and credit markets. These workshops with key regulators, academics, researchers and consumer activists were an opportunity for participants to both learn from key regulators about their strategies for investor education and to contribute to refining the priorities for action and for carrying out relevant further research and enriching the knowledge base in this area.

Led by Dr K P Krishnan, IEPF Chair Professor, the  team members of the IEPF Unit at NCAER are Sudipto Banerjee, Amrita Pillai, both of who work as Consultants; Sundus Usmani is the Research Analyst while Abdul Wahid is the Research Coordinator.

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