Publication Page Archive

Press Release Highlights of NCAER’s most recent Business Expectation Survey for Quarter 4 2014-15 The 92nd round of Business Expectations Survey (BES) carried out in March 2015 reveals that business sentiment has fallen sharply.  The BCI decreased by 6.9 per cent over the previous quarter. All components of BCI declined between January and April 2015....   Read More

NEW DELHI: Business sentiment fell sharply in the March quarter due to concerns over investment climate amid "patchy" and "uneven growth" said a survey today. "The 92nd round of Business Expectations Survey (BES) carried out in March 2015 reveals that business sentiment has fallen sharply. The BCI decreased by 6.9 per cent over the previous quarter" said a...   Read More

This article published in BusinessLine is written by Dr Kanhaiya Singh a Senior Fellow at NCAER. The Centre and the Reserve Bank of India signed an agreement on February 20 2015 which intends to put in place the inflation targeting framework (ITF) as the preferred monetary policy approach to be operated by the RBI. The...   Read More

The following article in The Hindu is written by Sonalde Desai a Senior Fellow at NCAER & Professor of Sociology at University of Maryland and Debasis Barik an Associate Fellow at NCAER. The article features important evidence gathered from the India Human Development Survey (IHDS) conducted periodically by NCAER in collaboration with the University of...   Read More

Over the last decade, the Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) framework has become a workhorse for macroeconomic analysis in both academic and policy circles. Following this emerging trend, we aim to expand our research capacity in macroeconomics at NCAER by introducing a baseline DSGE model for the Indian economy. This working paper comes out as...   Read More

This paper examines the estimation procedure of domestic product for communication sector in India at constant prices. It is observed that the methods used for estimating domestic product at constant prices suffer from serious flaws with respect to communication sector. When corrected by using a simplified method, it is found that the growth in real terms...   Read More

This economic outlook by NCAER, co published with India International Centre, New Delhi, analyses expected growth, inflation, balance of payments, fiscal balances, savings and investment trends, and covers the state of important sectors of the economy, including the financial and corporate sectors for that fiscal year. Long-term trends in the macro-economic performance of the Indian...   Read More

The following article in The Hindu by its the National Data Editor Rukmini S features important evidence gathered from the India Human Development Survey (IHDS) conducted periodically by NCAER in collaboration with the University of Maryland. IHDS is India’s only national longitudinal panel data set and provides considerable opportunities for researchers to generate high quality...   Read More

This note summarises the findings of interviews with senior Indian policy-makers and FDI researchers to ascertain the adequacy of India’s FDI statistics in answering important FDI policy and research questions. The principal gaps identified are: lack of data on the operations of foreign firms in India, on the state and district break-up of FDI inflows,...   Read More

This note summarises the findings from NCAER’s analysis of the written questions on FDI that Members of Parliament (MPs) submitted in Parliament between 2 July 2009 and 21 February 2014. While the purpose of this analysis was to understand the types of FDI-related information MPs typically seek when considering FDI issues in Parliament, it revealed...   Read More