Researchers Publication

 New Delhi: With the manufacturing sector showing signs of a nascent recovery the National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER) has said it expects India's GDP to expand at 5.2-5.7 per cent this fiscal year. "GDP growth rate for 2014-15 is projected at 5.2-5.7 per cent. The higher growth of 5.7 per cent is conditional...   Read More

The media were agog when a “secret” report of the Intelligence Bureau was leaked a few days after the swearing-in of the Narendra Modi-led government. It particularly pointed to Greenpeace to the agitation against the Kudankulam nuclear power plant (picture) and coal-based thermal power projects as having been funded by foreign agencies to hold back...   Read More

The serious commentary by Professor S. Gurumurthy on the implications of the budget for India’s informal economy was commendable (“The good is in the detail” July 14). I’d like to add support for his good challenge. Most of the enterprises in the Indian economy aren’t “SMEs”; they aren’t “small” they are “micro” enterprises with under...   Read More

If history is to be believed there is nothing bizarre in assuming that reform agenda is not confined to the Budget alone. Even though the big event of Budget has passed it is not unlikely that bold reform measures could be taken now. The Narendra Modi-led government has also shown its propensity to announce reforms...   Read More

The Quarterly Agricultural Outlook provides an overview of agricultural trends both globally and at the national level. Agriculture continues to be critical to India’s economy given its role in meeting the food and fibre needs of over a billion people and providing livelihoods to millions of households in rural areas.

The IPFs 10th Anniversary Volume, 2013-14, comprises papers and highlights of the discussion at the India Policy Forum (IPF) held in New Delhi on July 16–17, 2013. The IPF, a joint venture of NCAER and the Brookings Institution in Washington, D.C. explores India’s rapidly evolving economic transition and the underlying policy frameworks and reforms using...   Read More

The nature of monsoon in terms of amount of rainfall received during the months of June-September and distribution of rainfall across regions of the country and over the four month period remains the most important determinant of annual agricultural harvest in the country. This year, there has been a significant deficiency in rainfall received in...   Read More

Malnutrition remains one of the biggest challenges facing India. In the last large survey the National Family Health Survey of 2005-06 about 42 per cent children under the age of five were underweight. Economic growth has failed to redress this problem. Recently released estimates from the District Level Health Survey for selected states continue to...   Read More

This comprehensive study on the socioeconomic impact of HIV and AIDS was sponsored by UNDP and NACO and was undertaken by NCAER during the period October 2004 to May 2005.

This paper focuses on the implications of various land use policies being adopted in India with special reference to Delhi and the NCR region. It examines how far the economic reforms coupled with several changes in land use policies have helped spread development to neighbouring areas surrounding Delhi such as the Central National Capital Region...   Read More

Trivellore Raghunathan professor of biostatistics at the University of Michigan's School of Public Health who was recently appointed director of the Survey Research Centre at the university's Institute for Social Research talks to Malini Sen   What is the focus of the Survey Research Centre (SRC) at the University of Michigan's Institute for Social Research...   Read More

NEW DELHI: The business confidence in last quarter of 2013-14 improved further on expectations of a new electoral mandate that influenced the overall sentiments economic think-tank NCAER said today. The BCI in March quarter rose by about 3.8 per cent from the previous quarter to 127 points NCAER data showed. "The expectations of a new...   Read More