Researchers Publication

Media News: Surjit S Bhalla & Abhinav Motheram  The more academic American Association for Public Opinion Research’s (AAPOR) postmortem report on the 2016 election polls recognised that state polls ‘clearly underestimated Trump’s support in the Upper Midwest’. India 2014. Britain 2016. The US 2016. India 2019. And now the US 2020. What do the above five...   Read More

Dr. Tarujyoti Buragohain NCAER surmises that high prices of horticulture products due to lack of necessary infrastructure and quality are the major constraint for India in the export market. Moreover diversifying into organic and value added horticulture products may help improve export prospects. IBT: How have India’s horticulture exports progressed in the global market over...   Read More

The Lead Bank Scheme of the RBI involves a ‘lead bank’ in each district of India that coordinates financial services in the district and a ‘convenor bank’ in each state that monitors these activities of the lead banks in the state. Analysing quarterly district-level data on credit disbursement for 2004-2019 this article finds that in...   Read More

It's time to address the root cause of the 1992 stock market scandal - a conflict of interest in RBI's many roles The release of a recent Sony LIV series on the Harshad Mehta financial markets scandals that rocked India in the early 1990s has triggered chintanam on an event that perhaps led to some...   Read More

The urban poor is still finding it difficult to return to work. Targeting social safety nets towards them is necessary as the economy struggles to recover. While COVID-19 continues its assault on human lives the Indian economy after the devastation in the wake of the lockdown is showing signs of recovering. Data from a variety...   Read More

Informational asymmetry among consumers producers gives each economic agent an incentive to cheat. The latest NCAER’s (National Council of Applied Economic Research) forecast has indicated that YoY growth will remain negative through Q2 Q3 and Q4 at -12.7% -8.6% and -6.2% respectively. For the year as a whole 2020-21 GDP will decline by -12.6%. It...   Read More

The new MPC has done well but it would take game-changing reforms for our economy to regain its pre-covid trend growth The new monetary policy committee (MPC) which submitted its first report last Friday has started well. Faced with an unprecedented crisis a steep gross domestic product (GDP) contraction of 24% in the first quarter...   Read More

In the Covid era physical distancing and isolation may be impossible to follow for those who rely on the support of others to eat dress and bathe Disability is an issue which has been the least researched. According to the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study disability ranges from five per cent in children to...   Read More

Since its inception in December 2017, the NCAER National Data Innovation Centre has been promoting methodological research in methods of data collection to capture better quality data and strengthen the data ecosystem in India. As part of NDIC’s mandate to build a community of innovators in the data sphere, one of its activities was to...   Read More

This study was undertaken by NCAER on request of the Gems and Jewellery Export Promotion Council (GJEPC) to evaluate the key industry characteristics, its competitiveness, and its employment potential. The study provides a comprehensive map of G&J clusters in each industry segment based on the number of units and workers. The NCAER team surveyed a...   Read More

The agriculture sector like large and medium industries of the Indian economy also needs a well-organised industry representation. India has a long history of farm movements. Surplus generated out of the Green Revolution made farmers a politically significant group. Chaudhary Charan Singh was one of the first to identify its potential. He formed the Bharatiya...   Read More

The farm sector will attract private investment only if traders are assured that the govt will not put a constraint in their selling and purchasing price. The outset the three farm Bills brought in by the Narendra Modi government seem to create a level-playing field in the farm sector. They empower the farmer to sell...   Read More