Researchers Publication

NEW DELHI: The Chief Economic Advisor (CEA) to the Prime Minister Arvind Subramanian believes a solely consumption­led model of economic growth will not be able to sustain a double­digit growth rate in India. Speaking at the India Policy Forum 2016 organised by the National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER) Subramanian said the new wave of...   Read More

This report provides a longer term perspective for the food sector. The study reports under this series will present an analysis of alternative scenarios of output and consumption for food crops taking into account the available information and based on the suitable economic models that permit longer term projections.

This 12th India Policy Forum 2015–16  Volume was released by Dr Arvind Subramanian, Chief Economic Advisor to the Government of India and Dr Shekhar Shah, Director-General NCAER at the annual Indian Policy Forum (IPF) Lecture held at the India International Centre on 12 July, 2016.  The Volume comprises papers and highlights of the discussions at the India...   Read More

The report provides a comparison of the latest medium-term projections for wheat, rice, coarse grains, oilseeds, vegetable oils and sugar made by five international institutions (OECD/FAO, USDA, FAPRI, and IGC) on the supply and demand conditions globally and for India. A standalone model for Indian agricultural markets, using the OECD/FAO developed COSIMO model and an...   Read More

A significant share of women in the country get married without even the most basic forms of communication with their to-be-spouses before their wedding day Indian women may be shedding their clichéd demure image but when it comes to matters of choosing life partners they still opt for the traditional conventional ways. According to the...   Read More

The significant shift from farm work to non-farm sources of income accelerated the decline in poverty in India. Non-farm jobs pay more than agricultural labour and incomes from both were propelled by a steep rise in wages for rural unskilled labour. While lower dependency rates and transfers — from remittances and social programmes — have...   Read More

The business confidence fell 6.7 per cent in the fourth quarter last fiscal signalling subdued sentiments says an NCAER survey. “The 96th round of the Business Expectations Survey (BES) shows that the Business Confidence Index (BCI) registered a decrease of 6.7 per cent in April 2016 over January 2016 on a quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) basis thus...   Read More

Their survey index of firms dipped in JanApril to a 10quarter low; however political confidence measure rose India Inc's confidence in the economy and their businesses fell to a 10quarter low in the threemonth period ending April this year showed a survey of the National Council of Applied Economic Research. Their Business Confidence Index (BCI) declined to 121.6 points in the...   Read More

Almost 77 percent of Indian parents expect to live with their sons in old age while seven percent want to live with their daughters according to the India Human Development Survey (IHDS) conducted jointly by researchers from University of Maryland and National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER) New Delhi. These are the findings from...   Read More

India’s GDP is estimated to grow at 7.6 per cent in 2015–16 and 7.7 per cent in 2016– 17 due to a favourable monsoon the National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER) said. The Delhi-based think-tank said on Saturday the numbers mark significant revision upwards from its January 2016 forecast when it had predicted a...   Read More

Economic think-tank NCAER today projected India's economic growth rate to improve marginally to 7.7 per cent in 2016-17 against the backdrop of IMD's forecast of better monsoon rains this year. Economic think-tank NCAER today projected India’s economic growth rate to improve marginally to 7.7 per cent in 2016-17 against the backdrop of IMD’s forecast of...   Read More

The National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER) has scaled up India's economic growth projection to 7.6 per cent for 2015-16 from the earlier 7.4 per cent. It pegged the growth marginally higher at 7.7 per cent for 2016-17 due to a pickup in the agriculture sector on the back of expected normal monsoon. "NCAER's...   Read More