Publication Page Archive

What the year means for India’s ascent. The historical resonance of 2025 cannot be overstated. It marks the halfway point to achieving the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals, reflecting progress and challenges in poverty alleviation, gender equality and climate action. It is an especially pivotal year in advancing regional commitments, such as the Addis Ababa...   Read More

In this paper, we examine the dynamics between inflation uncertainty, beliefs and inflation expectations of firms. Inflation uncertainty and beliefs influence a firm’s perception of the inflation levels, thereby impacting its expected inflation. Using novel survey data on firm inflation expectations, we examine the extent to which crises influence the relationship between inflation uncertainty and...   Read More

In this paper, we investigate the macroeconomic and labour market implications of gender equality in unpaid care work and the formalisation of part-time employment in India. The unequal distribution of unpaid care responsibilities significantly limits women's labour force participation, perpetuating gender disparities in employment and economic outcomes. Using the McCall-Mortensen macroeconomic job search framework, this...   Read More

Why India’s job crunch is on a longer spell By comparing data from two periods from the NSSO’s Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS), 2020-21 and 2023-24, the shifting unemployment patterns can be better understood. These changes provide us with a clearer picture of labour force participation, economic recovery, and the specific obstacles different demographic groups...   Read More

Domestic violence is a global phenomenon. We study the interplay of determinants of a woman’s risk of facing intimate partner violence (IPV) for the case of India—using information from up to 235 thousand female survey respondents and exploiting state-level variation in institutions, law enforcement and attitudes. Unless in paid and formal employment, a woman’s economic...   Read More

The question of whether immigrants from countries with low levels of political trust bring those attitudes with them to their host societies has long been debated. This column leverages survey data from 38 countries, and exploits variation across countries, cohorts, and survey rounds, to show that immigrants exposed to institutional corruption during early adulthood (ages...   Read More

The article focuses on different types of crimes against women in Assam. The objective is to prospectively analyse the factors leading to major crimes in different districts of the state. The recent report on Crime in India Report, 2021 the National Crime Records Bureau highlights that Assam has reported the highest rate of crimes against...   Read More

While digitalisation has revolutionised the accessibility and administration of pension schemes in India, AI-driven predictive models can allow pension fund managers to make more informed decisions about investment strategies, risk management, and asset allocation. India’s pension sector has historically been limited in scope, with coverage predominantly available to government employees and a small fraction of...   Read More

US President-elect Donald Trump's incoming administration will likely seek to weaken the greenback's exchange rate. But whether doing so would enhance the competitiveness of US exports and strengthen America’s trade balance is another matter. BERKELEY – One of the more jaw-dropping policy ideas gaining political steam in the United States recently has President-elect Donald Trump...   Read More

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